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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| qinlaoban | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 48% (539–574, n=1113) | 48% (17938–19366, n=37304) |
| Consensus PnL | -$75K | $14.9M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #860 | PM monthly #32 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 40% (2 of 5 open) | 57% (39 of 68 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
| Weakest topic | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 99% of 500 at avg 50¢, ROI +49% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 48% (won 99% of 238) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 52% (won 99% of 262) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | qinlaoban | RN1 |
|---|---|---|
| Spread: Mavericks (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | Nets $41 | Mavericks $763 |
| Spread: Pelicans (-1.5) same side · consensus Pelicans | Pelicans $6.6K | Pelicans $44 |
| Spread: Mavericks (-7.5) same side · consensus Mavericks | Mavericks $3.9K | Mavericks $1.6K |
| Spread: Mavericks (-8.5) same side · consensus Nets | Mavericks $3.6K | Mavericks $1.1K |