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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
primmqinlaobanRN1
Record (consensus markets)50% (1248–1261, n=2509)48% (539–574, n=1113)48% (17938–19366, n=37304)
Consensus PnL$3.6M-$75K$14.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #46PM monthly #718PM monthly #32 + pinned
Sides with the consensus60% (3 of 5 open)40% (2 of 5 open)58% (39 of 67 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%99% of 500 at avg 50¢, ROI +49%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 94% of 51)0%10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢41% (won 99% of 421)48% (won 99% of 238)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢49% (won 99% of 508)52% (won 99% of 262)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up5% (won 100% of 47)0%33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketprimmqinlaobanRN1
Buccaneers vs. Bears
opposite sides · consensus Bears
Buccaneers $1.5K—Bears $7.9K
Spread: Mavericks (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
—Nets $41Mavericks $763
Spread: Bears (-6.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
Bears $5.8K—Bears $28K
Spread: Mavericks (-7.5)
same side · consensus Mavericks
—Mavericks $3.9KMavericks $1.7K
Spread: Mavericks (-8.5)
same side · consensus Nets
—Mavericks $3.6KMavericks $1.1K