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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
rabbit00700gringo00BreakTheBankprimm
Record (consensus markets)47% (247–278, n=525)75% (6–2, n=8)45% (526–640, n=1166)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$44K$3.5M$10.6M$3.4M
Tracked asHand-pickedwas PM monthly #19PM monthly #1PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus88% (7 of 8 open)no open consensus position73% (73 of 100 open)47% (7 of 15 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicEntertainment −2 pts, n=11———
Settled positions, side won44% of 589 at avg 40¢, ROI +3%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢48% (won 12% of 280)0%10% (won 85% of 53)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢14% (won 49% of 83)0%36% (won 98% of 192)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 67% of 95)100% (won 86% of 7)35% (won 99% of 187)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up22% (won 95% of 131)0%20% (won 100% of 107)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketrabbit00700gringo00BreakTheBankprimm
Chiefs vs. Broncos
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
——Chiefs $465KBroncos $6.8K