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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
Add:RN1beachboy4CORGIIsainttroplay00gringo000x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241
| randomWalkingShrimp | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 78% (884–246, n=1130) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $39K | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 78% (39 of 50 open) | 71% (58 of 82 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 81% of 1028 at avg 72¢, ROI +8% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 14% (won 19% of 146) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 7% (won 50% of 72) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 12% (won 79% of 124) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 67% (won 98% of 686) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | randomWalkingShrimp | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $19 | Yes $85K |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $662 | Yes $38K |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $497 | No $35K |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $153 | Yes $28K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $85 | Yes $172K |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $267 | No $88K |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $86 | Yes $71K |