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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | omnibus-076daa | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 50% (14415–14465, n=28880) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.4M | $10.6M | $3.5M | $3.3M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #373 | PM monthly #27 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 79% (56 of 71 open) | no open consensus position | 69% (9 of 13 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 91% of 10843 at avg 60¢, ROI +32% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 8% (won 59% of 873) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 21% (won 86% of 2319) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 38% (won 94% of 4154) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 32% (won 99% of 3497) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | omnibus-076daa |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $85K | — | Yes $2.0K |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $30K | — | Yes $3.0K |