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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| sbimbg | CORGII | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 71% (3048–1271, n=4319) | 62% (393–245, n=638) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $124K | $4.5M | $10.6M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #932 | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 55% (47 of 86 open) | 25% (1 of 4 open) | 73% (72 of 99 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Geopolitics −4 pts, n=74 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 78% of 3987 at avg 72¢, ROI +4% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 18% of 452) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 7% (won 50% of 294) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 17% (won 68% of 682) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 64% (won 95% of 2559) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | sbimbg | CORGII | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $6 | — | No $411K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $277 | — | No $590 | — |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $745 | — | Yes $258K | — |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Ohio? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $1 | — | Yes $11K | — |