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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
seeeeeebsainttroplayRN1
Record (consensus markets)70% (654–283, n=937)71% (10–4, n=14)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)
Consensus PnL-$14K$4.4M$13.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #963was PM monthly #11PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus57% (4 of 7 open)no open consensus position54% (64 of 119 open)
Strongest topics
  • Esports +31 pts n=62, ROI −9%
  • NBA +35 pts n=35, ROI +35%
  • Crypto +13 pts n=190, ROI +12%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won97% of 307 at avg 76¢, ROI −1%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 67% of 15)0%10% (won 56% of 2534)
Entries 30–50¢10% (won 83% of 30)50% (won 100% of 5)22% (won 94% of 5497)
Entries 50–70¢20% (won 100% of 61)50% (won 100% of 5)36% (won 99% of 8897)
Entries 70¢ and up65% (won 100% of 201)0%31% (won 100% of 7736)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketseeeeeebsainttroplayRN1
Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
Buccaneers $191—Falcons $2.7K
Spread: Bills (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bills
Ravens $28—Bills $93
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 50.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $2—Over $1.3K