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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
sfkjbsr457BreakTheBankRN1
Record (consensus markets)59% (4469–3130, n=7599)45% (526–640, n=1166)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)
Consensus PnL$53K$10.6M$13.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #964PM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus6% (1 of 17 open)72% (73 of 101 open)54% (63 of 116 open)
Strongest topics
  • Crypto +28 pts n=3243, ROI +24%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won80% of 3246 at avg 52¢, ROI +24%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢0% (won 50% of 6)10% (won 85% of 53)10% (won 56% of 2534)
Entries 30–50¢47% (won 76% of 1536)36% (won 98% of 192)22% (won 94% of 5497)
Entries 50–70¢50% (won 83% of 1631)35% (won 99% of 187)36% (won 99% of 8897)
Entries 70¢ and up2% (won 96% of 73)20% (won 100% of 107)31% (won 100% of 7736)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketsfkjbsr457BreakTheBankRN1
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cardinals $59KCowboys $12K
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cardinals $3.0KCowboys $1.4K
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $72Yes $2.2K—
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $51KMagic $228
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $13KMagic $161