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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| sinasinner | CORGII | BreakTheBank | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (37–44, n=81) | 62% (393–246, n=639) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 50% (986–968, n=1954) |
| Consensus PnL | -$366K | $4.5M | $10.6M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #353 | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (1 of 2 open) | 33% (1 of 3 open) | 85% (52 of 61 open) | 50% (3 of 6 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 77% of 44 at avg 45¢, ROI +21% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 14% (won 17% of 6) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 81% of 16) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 50% (won 91% of 22) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | sinasinner | CORGII | BreakTheBank | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Commanders (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Commanders | — | — | Commanders $44K | Eagles $1.3K |
| Spread: Commanders (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | Commanders $29K | — | — | Eagles $3 |