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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| slimjoe | 00gringo00 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 51% (5286–5005, n=10291) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) |
| Consensus PnL | -$76K | $3.5M | $3.5M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | was PM monthly #19 | was PM monthly #373 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 29% (2 of 7 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 89% (143 of 160 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 96% of 5178 at avg 56¢, ROI +31% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 78% of 203) | 0% | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 96% of 1858) | 0% | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 40% (won 96% of 2095) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 99% of 1022) | 0% | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | slimjoe | 00gringo00 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $178 | — | — | Yes $270K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $219 | — | — | Yes $170K |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | No $48 | — | — | No $202K |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | Yes $37 | — | — | Yes $85K |