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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| slimjoe | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 51% (5215–4971, n=10186) | 45% (537–652, n=1189) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | -$76K | $10.6M | $4.4M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 14% (1 of 7 open) | 85% (50 of 59 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (2 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | 96% of 5178 at avg 56¢, ROI +31% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 78% of 203) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 0% | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 96% of 1858) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 40% (won 96% of 2095) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 99% of 1022) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 0% | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | slimjoe | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $172 | Yes $270K | — | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $219 | Yes $170K | — | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | No $48 | No $202K | — | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | Yes $37 | Yes $85K | — | — |