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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| slimjoe | CORGII | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 51% (5214–4960, n=10174) | 62% (393–246, n=639) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | -$73K | $4.5M | $10.6M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 14% (1 of 7 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) | 85% (51 of 60 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 96% of 5178 at avg 56¢, ROI +31% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 78% of 203) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 96% of 1858) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 40% (won 96% of 2095) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 99% of 1022) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | slimjoe | CORGII | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $172 | — | Yes $274K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $219 | — | Yes $170K | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | No $48 | — | No $202K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | Yes $37 | — | Yes $85K | — |