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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
solwizzo-onXBreakTheBankRN1sainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)68% (287–137, n=424)45% (537–652, n=1189)48% (12984–14343, n=27327)71% (10–4, n=14)
Consensus PnL$8.0K$10.6M$13.4M$4.4M
Tracked asHand-pickedPM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensus77% (20 of 26 open)85% (53 of 62 open)33% (1 of 3 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Crypto +7 pts n=156, ROI +7%
  • NBA +13 pts n=34, ROI 0%
  • Finance +8 pts n=85, ROI +4%
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topicMLB −4 pts, n=28———
Settled positions, side won57% of 460 at avg 52¢, ROI +1%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢36% (won 7% of 166)10% (won 82% of 56)10% (won 57% of 2537)0%
Entries 30–50¢9% (won 49% of 43)36% (won 98% of 198)22% (won 94% of 5518)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢10% (won 77% of 47)35% (won 99% of 191)36% (won 99% of 8928)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up44% (won 95% of 204)19% (won 100% of 107)32% (won 100% of 7821)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketsolwizzo-onXBreakTheBankRN1sainttroplay
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $198Yes $2.6K——
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $40Yes $296——