← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| studmuffin6969 | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 59% (606–417, n=1023) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $129K | $10.6M | $5.8M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #24 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 84% (43 of 51 open) | 88% (131 of 149 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | Culture −18 pts, n=16 | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 68% of 1341 at avg 66¢, ROI +3% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 24% (won 8% of 323) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 7% (won 43% of 99) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 10% (won 60% of 133) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 59% (won 96% of 786) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | studmuffin6969 | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2.9K | Yes $172K | — | — |
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $520 | Yes $15K | — | — |