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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
suntori0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188RN1surfandturf
Record (consensus markets)45% (10698–13033, n=23731)46% (131–154, n=285)47% (13868–15346, n=29214)52% (273–252, n=525)
Consensus PnL$207K$19.1M$13.4M$4.1M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #792was PM monthly #715PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #326
Sides with the consensus51% (71 of 138 open)no open consensus position83% (5 of 6 open)50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +4 pts n=196, ROI +5%
  • MMA +4 pts n=148, ROI +10%
  • NBA +4 pts n=76, ROI +12%
Weakest topicCrypto −3 pts, n=3302College Basketball −12 pts, n=174—NFL −11 pts, n=58
Settled positions, side won42% of 10150 at avg 43¢, ROI −2%49% of 1341 at avg 50¢, ROI −2%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%53% of 536 at avg 53¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢35% (won 9% of 3590)0% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 57% of 2537)20% (won 12% of 109)
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 36% of 2197)42% (won 46% of 565)22% (won 94% of 5518)21% (won 46% of 114)
Entries 50–70¢25% (won 59% of 2489)57% (won 51% of 766)36% (won 99% of 8928)33% (won 60% of 176)
Entries 70¢ and up18% (won 88% of 1874)0% (won 100% of 4)32% (won 100% of 7821)26% (won 82% of 137)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketsuntori0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188RN1surfandturf
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $13—No $7.7K—
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $81——No $2.7K
Will BG Pathum United win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $34—No $1.4K—
Will T1 win Worlds 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.5K——Yes $2.3K
Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Mariano Navone
same side · consensus Luca Van Assche
Mariano Navone $50—Mariano Navone $631—