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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| suntori | RN1 | surfandturf | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (10674–13008, n=23682) | 47% (13858–15341, n=29199) | 54% (225–189, n=414) |
| Consensus PnL | $207K | $13.4M | $9.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #792 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #326 |
| Sides with the consensus | 57% (87 of 153 open) | 50% (4 of 8 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | Crypto −3 pts, n=3302 | — | NFL −11 pts, n=58 |
| Settled positions, side won | 42% of 10150 at avg 43¢, ROI −2% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 53% of 536 at avg 53¢, ROI 0% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 35% (won 9% of 3590) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 20% (won 12% of 109) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 22% (won 36% of 2197) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 21% (won 46% of 114) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 25% (won 59% of 2489) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 33% (won 60% of 176) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 18% (won 88% of 1874) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 26% (won 82% of 137) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | suntori | RN1 | surfandturf |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $2 | No $7.7K | — |
| Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $81 | — | No $2.7K |
| Taipei: Joel Schwaerzler vs Jan Kumstat same side · consensus Jan Kumstat | Jan Kumstat $2 | Jan Kumstat $15K | — |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Luciano Darderi vs Rinky Hijikata same side · consensus Rinky Hijikata | Rinky Hijikata $3 | Rinky Hijikata $12K | — |
| Will T1 win Worlds 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $1.5K | — | Yes $2.3K |