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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
suntoribeachboy4RN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (10674–13008, n=23682)68% (43–20, n=63)47% (13858–15341, n=29199)
Consensus PnL$207K$5.8M$13.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #792was PM monthly #24PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus57% (86 of 152 open)100% (2 of 2 open)50% (4 of 8 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topicCrypto −3 pts, n=3302NBA −6 pts, n=93—
Settled positions, side won42% of 10150 at avg 43¢, ROI −2%57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢35% (won 9% of 3590)3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 57% of 2537)
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 36% of 2197)30% (won 57% of 63)22% (won 94% of 5518)
Entries 50–70¢25% (won 59% of 2489)54% (won 51% of 115)36% (won 99% of 8928)
Entries 70¢ and up18% (won 88% of 1874)14% (won 86% of 29)32% (won 100% of 7821)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketsuntoribeachboy4RN1
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2—No $7.7K
Taipei: Joel Schwaerzler vs Jan Kumstat
same side · consensus Jan Kumstat
Jan Kumstat $2—Jan Kumstat $15K
Rolex Paris Masters: Luciano Darderi vs Rinky Hijikata
same side · consensus Rinky Hijikata
Rinky Hijikata $3—Rinky Hijikata $12K