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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| supersmard | RN1 | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 44% (50–64, n=114) | 47% (13849–15328, n=29177) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 56% (101–79, n=180) |
| Consensus PnL | $62K | $13.4M | $10.6M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #602 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #373 |
| Sides with the consensus | 42% (8 of 19 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 89% (143 of 160 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 71% of 66 at avg 43¢, ROI +13% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 33% (won 36% of 22) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 7% (won 75% of 8) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 69% of 16) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 26% (won 93% of 29) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 30% (won 100% of 20) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 42% (won 96% of 47) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 12% (won 100% of 8) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 24% (won 96% of 27) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | supersmard | RN1 | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $3.7K | — | No $32K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $8.5K | — | No $12K | — |