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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| takeormake | 00gringo00 | RN1 | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (2345–1979, n=4324) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 48% (12896–14023, n=26919) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | $986K | $3.5M | $13.4M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #25 | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (19 of 38 open) | no open consensus position | 56% (15 of 27 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | 87% of 2057 at avg 57¢, ROI +12% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 33% of 220) | 0% | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 20% (won 84% of 413) | 0% | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 45% (won 96% of 918) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 25% (won 98% of 506) | 0% | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | takeormake | 00gringo00 | RN1 | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Warriors (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Warriors | Warriors $707 | — | Clippers $14 | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-3.5) same side · consensus Commanders | Eagles $5.4K | — | Eagles $2.4K | — |
| Spread: Eagles (-2.5) same side · consensus Eagles | Eagles $2.6K | — | Eagles $27 | — |
| Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 40.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $26 | — | Over $644 | — |
| Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 42.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $8 | — | Over $259 | — |
| Spread: Lakers (-6.5) same side · consensus Raptors | Lakers $133 | — | Lakers $11 | — |
| Spread: Lakers (-10.5) same side · consensus Lakers | Raptors $5 | — | Raptors $4 | — |