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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| thebug44 | 00gringo00 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 38% (55–90, n=145) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $185K | $3.5M | $3.5M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #989 | was PM monthly #19 | was PM monthly #373 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 80% (16 of 20 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 71% (73 of 103 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | |||
| Weakest topic | NFL ±0 pts, n=14 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 45% of 101 at avg 35¢, ROI +12% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 49% (won 14% of 49) | 0% | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 20% (won 65% of 20) | 0% | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 21% (won 76% of 21) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 11% (won 82% of 11) | 0% | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | thebug44 | 00gringo00 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $2.8K | — | — | No $35K |
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $42 | — | — | Yes $16K |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $9.9K | — | — | Yes $4.7K |
| Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $8.9K | — | — | Yes $4.4K |