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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| thebug44 | CORGII | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 38% (55–90, n=145) | 61% (393–247, n=640) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 45% (537–652, n=1189) |
| Consensus PnL | $185K | $4.5M | $3.5M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #989 | PM monthly #68 | was PM monthly #373 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 84% (16 of 19 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) | no open consensus position | 85% (52 of 61 open) |
| Strongest topics | ||||
| Weakest topic | NFL ±0 pts, n=14 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 45% of 101 at avg 35¢, ROI +12% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 49% (won 14% of 49) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 20% (won 65% of 20) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 21% (won 76% of 21) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 11% (won 82% of 11) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | thebug44 | CORGII | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $3.0K | — | — | No $32K |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $9.7K | — | — | Yes $14K |
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $42 | — | — | Yes $15K |