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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
themagicofcinemaRN100gringo00CORGII
Record (consensus markets)71% (397–159, n=556)47% (13854–15338, n=29192)75% (6–2, n=8)62% (395–247, n=642)
Consensus PnL$46K$13.4M$3.5M$4.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #635PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #19PM monthly #68
Sides with the consensus64% (7 of 11 open)50% (2 of 4 open)no open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topicMentions −6 pts, n=15———
Settled positions, side won74% of 496 at avg 71¢, ROI +1%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢20% (won 5% of 97)10% (won 57% of 2537)0%9% (won 92% of 36)
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 38% of 29)22% (won 94% of 5518)0%56% (won 99% of 223)
Entries 50–70¢9% (won 76% of 45)36% (won 99% of 8928)100% (won 86% of 7)33% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 70¢ and up66% (won 98% of 325)32% (won 100% of 7821)0%2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.