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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
topdogbigboiRN1CORGII0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241
Record (consensus markets)43% (3696–4829, n=8525)48% (12984–14343, n=27327)61% (393–247, n=640)56% (101–79, n=180)
Consensus PnL$435$13.4M$4.5M$3.5M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #967PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #68was PM monthly #373
Sides with the consensus14% (1 of 7 open)33% (1 of 3 open)0% (0 of 1 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 1259 at avg 63¢, ROI +43%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%
Entries under 30¢9% (won 98% of 113)10% (won 57% of 2537)9% (won 92% of 36)7% (won 75% of 8)
Entries 30–50¢21% (won 100% of 265)22% (won 94% of 5518)56% (won 99% of 223)26% (won 93% of 29)
Entries 50–70¢27% (won 100% of 346)36% (won 99% of 8928)33% (won 100% of 133)42% (won 96% of 47)
Entries 70¢ and up42% (won 100% of 535)32% (won 100% of 7821)2% (won 100% of 7)24% (won 96% of 27)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarkettopdogbigboiRN1CORGII0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Liquid (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B
same side · consensus Aurora Gaming
Liquid $17—Liquid $12K—
Taipei: Kasidit Samrej vs Omar Jasika
same side · consensus Omar Jasika
Kasidit Samrej $13Kasidit Samrej $4.8K——
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Boulter
same side · consensus Katie Boulter
Viktorija Golubic $42Viktorija Golubic $2.7K——