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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| topdogbigboi | RN1 | sainttroplay | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 43% (4019–5395, n=9414) | 47% (13860–15343, n=29203) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | $435 | $13.4M | $4.4M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #967 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 46% (11 of 24 open) | 67% (4 of 6 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (2 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=93 |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 1259 at avg 63¢, ROI +43% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 9% (won 98% of 113) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 0% | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 21% (won 100% of 265) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 30% (won 57% of 63) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 27% (won 100% of 346) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 42% (won 100% of 535) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 0% | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | topdogbigboi | RN1 | sainttroplay | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Hubert Hurkacz opposite sides · consensus Hubert Hurkacz | Hubert Hurkacz $107 | Lorenzo Musetti $46K | — | — |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Venus Williams vs Mary Stoiana opposite sides · consensus Mary Stoiana | Venus Williams $6 | Mary Stoiana $21K | — | — |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | No $316 | No $7.7K | — | — |
| Luanda: Isabella Shinikova vs Dune Vaissaud same side · consensus Isabella Shinikova | Dune Vaissaud $36 | Dune Vaissaud $273 | — | — |