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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| tttt123 | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 68% (550–258, n=808) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 75% (6–2, n=8) |
| Consensus PnL | $11K | $4.4M | $10.6M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #19 |
| Sides with the consensus | 71% (60 of 85 open) | no open consensus position | 86% (54 of 63 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | Crypto −13 pts, n=83 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 1753 at avg 65¢, ROI +2% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 12% of 223) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 12% (won 32% of 206) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 21% (won 54% of 370) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 100% (won 86% of 7) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 54% (won 87% of 954) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | tttt123 | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $3.5K | — | No $202K | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $144 | — | Yes $30K | — |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.2K | — | Yes $14K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $29 | — | No $34K | — |