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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| wish- | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | CORGII | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 82% (738–165, n=903) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 62% (393–246, n=639) |
| Consensus PnL | $63K | $10.6M | $4.4M | $4.5M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #68 |
| Sides with the consensus | 92% (36 of 39 open) | 81% (58 of 72 open) | no open consensus position | 33% (1 of 3 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Economy −4 pts, n=51 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 84% of 1338 at avg 83¢, ROI +1% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 8% (won 7% of 107) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% | 9% (won 92% of 36) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 3% (won 33% of 45) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 56% (won 99% of 223) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 6% (won 63% of 83) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 33% (won 100% of 133) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 82% (won 96% of 1103) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% | 2% (won 100% of 7) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | wish- | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | CORGII |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $4.4K | No $202K | — | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $8.5K | Yes $85K | — | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $1.4K | No $34K | — | — |