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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
xfileRN1CORGIIprimm
Record (consensus markets)56% (477–371, n=848)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)62% (393–245, n=638)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$165K$13.4M$4.5M$3.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #996PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #68PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)70% (16 of 23 open)25% (1 of 4 open)47% (9 of 19 open)
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +48 pts n=281, ROI +54%
  • NBA +46 pts n=34, ROI +41%
  • NHL +44 pts n=35, ROI +42%
Weakest topicElections −11 pts, n=10———
Settled positions, side won81% of 626 at avg 46¢, ROI +40%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢14% (won 56% of 87)10% (won 56% of 2534)9% (won 92% of 36)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢50% (won 80% of 313)22% (won 94% of 5497)56% (won 99% of 223)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢27% (won 92% of 169)36% (won 99% of 8897)33% (won 100% of 133)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up9% (won 93% of 57)31% (won 100% of 7736)2% (won 100% of 7)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketxfileRN1CORGIIprimm
Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Falcons
—Falcons $2.7K—Buccaneers $3.0K