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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| yen4u | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 90% (841–94, n=935) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $78K | $10.6M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #815 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 82% (41 of 50 open) | 72% (74 of 103 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 95% of 753 at avg 91¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 27% of 26) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 2% (won 56% of 16) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 4% (won 82% of 33) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 90% (won 100% of 678) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | yen4u | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $9 | No $184K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $57K | Yes $77K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $288 | No $40K | — |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $5.0K | Yes $4.7K | — |