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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
zxc368BreakTheBankRN1CORGII
Record (consensus markets)99% (13369–172, n=13541)45% (526–640, n=1166)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)62% (393–245, n=638)
Consensus PnL$232K$10.6M$13.4M$4.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #739PM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #68
Sides with the consensus100% (6 of 6 open)73% (72 of 98 open)56% (35 of 62 open)25% (1 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicCrypto ±0 pts, n=276———
Settled positions, side won99% of 10006 at avg 99¢, ROI 0%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 16% of 86)10% (won 85% of 53)10% (won 56% of 2534)9% (won 92% of 36)
Entries 30–50¢0% (won 67% of 18)36% (won 98% of 192)22% (won 94% of 5497)56% (won 99% of 223)
Entries 50–70¢0% (won 80% of 10)35% (won 99% of 187)36% (won 99% of 8897)33% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 70¢ and up99% (won 100% of 9892)20% (won 100% of 107)31% (won 100% of 7736)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketzxc368BreakTheBankRN1CORGII
Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $3.5K—Under $1.0K—
Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $3.1K—No $18—
Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $487—Under $6—
Real Sociedad de Fútbol leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $219—Yes $54—
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $51KMagic $228—
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $13KMagic $161—