Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Marek Gengel — but Michael Vrbensky won instead.
Bratislava 2: Michael Vrbensky vs Marek Gengel
Resolved Michael Vrbensky. 55% of the top Polymarket traders held Marek Gengel. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
11
Marek Gengel 80%
$38.37
-$406.71
Smart Money Signal
6 of 11 top traders (55%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 poshposh<$100 | Michael Vrbenskyavg 92¢ | $34.85 | $37.88 | +$3.03 | 58% 10670-7656 (18326) |
 HRTradingCTR<$100 | Marek Gengelavg 11¢ | $6.52 | — | -$6.52 | 53% 5640-5054 (10694) |
FA Favorite-Cave-Muscat<$100 | Michael Vrbenskyavg 94¢ | $55.93 | $0.49 | +$3.51 | 68% 325-153 (478) |
TH thestingsnakeCTR | Marek Gengelavg 71¢ | $600 | — | -$387.7 | 60% 4104-2765 (6869) |
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2CTR<$100 | Marek Gengelavg 53¢ | $10.34 | — | -$10.34 | 52% 13929-12704 (26633) |
 TRCMCTR | Marek Gengelavg 7.4¢ | $142.88 | — | -$10.53 | 55% 3961-3190 (7151) |
UP UpTheBlues<$100 | Michael Vrbenskyavg 39.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 59% 46920-33175 (80095) |
 RN1CTR<$100 | Marek Gengelavg 17.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 54% 57169-49417 (106586) |
LI Lilybaeum<$100 | Michael Vrbenskyavg 47¢ | — | — | +$0 | 61% 13793-8671 (22464) |
 ARTEM-DZYUBA<$100 | Michael Vrbenskyavg 81.5¢ | $8.15 | — | +$1.84 | 85% 5885-1004 (6889) |
 VeryLucky888CTR<$100 | Marek Gengelavg 52¢ | — | — | +$0 | 58% 42698-31074 (73772) |
poshposh<$100Invested
$34.85
Value
$37.88
PnL
+$3.03
Record
58%
10670-7656 (18326)
HRTradingCTR<$100Invested
$6.52
Value
—
PnL
-$6.52
Record
53%
5640-5054 (10694)
Invested
$55.93
Value
$0.49
PnL
+$3.51
Record
68%
325-153 (478)
Invested
$600
Value
—
PnL
-$387.7
Record
60%
4104-2765 (6869)
Invested
$10.34
Value
—
PnL
-$10.34
Record
52%
13929-12704 (26633)
TRCMCTRInvested
$142.88
Value
—
PnL
-$10.53
Record
55%
3961-3190 (7151)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
46920-33175 (80095)
RN1CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
54%
57169-49417 (106586)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
61%
13793-8671 (22464)
ARTEM-DZYUBA<$100Invested
$8.15
Value
—
PnL
+$1.84
Record
85%
5885-1004 (6889)
VeryLucky888CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
58%
42698-31074 (73772)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
poshposh
Michael Vrbensky — $37.88
HRTrading
CTRMarek Gengel — $0
Favorite-Cave-Muscat
Michael Vrbensky — $0.49
thestingsnake
CTRMarek Gengel — $0
0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2
CTRMarek Gengel — $0
TRCM
CTRMarek Gengel — $0
UpTheBlues
Michael Vrbensky — $0
RN1
CTRMarek Gengel — $0
Lilybaeum
Michael Vrbensky — $0
ARTEM-DZYUBA
Michael Vrbensky — $0