Counter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs maybe - Map 2 Winner

8 of 11 top Polymarket traders hold WRAITH PCIFIC (73%) · WRAITH PCIFIC at 100¢ · $4K held · ends Nov 4

WRAITH PCIFIC>99¢maybe<1¢Ends Wed, Nov 4, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

WRAITH PCIFIC

Consensus Traders

WRAITH PCIFIC 73%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$4.0K

Combined PnL

$-1.0K

Smart Money Entry

85.5¢ → 100¢

+17% since entry · 8 traders

Research grade

NeutralWRAITH PCIFIC at 100%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

WRAITH PCIFIC

8 of 11 top traders (73%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

WRAITH PCIFIC100%

maybe0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

WRAITH PCIFIC8 traders

Total Value$2.0K

Total Shares2,324

Combined PnL+$39.06

maybe3 traders

Total Value$486.11

Total Shares4,809

Combined PnL$-1.1K

WRAITH PCIFIC — 73%maybe — 27%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
VP Vps1	WRAITH PCIFICavg 99.9¢	$1.3K	$1.3K	+$0.67	96% 381-15 (396)
0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fARB<$100	WRAITH PCIFICavg 69.5¢	$789.38	$861.48	+$72.1	54% 2621-2248 (4869)
└ WRAITH PCIFIC leg	WRAITH PCIFICavg 69.5¢	$599.43	$491.82	-$107.61
└ maybe leg	maybeavg 22.1¢	$189.95	$369.66	+$179.71
poshposhARB<$100	WRAITH PCIFICavg 60.2¢	$587.67	$642.83	+$55.16	57% 12266-9326 (21592)
└ WRAITH PCIFIC leg	WRAITH PCIFICavg 60.2¢	$423.42	$401.04	-$22.38
└ maybe leg	maybeavg 29.2¢	$164.25	$241.79	+$77.54
alpheclabs2CTR	maybeavg 33.1¢	$372.29	$484.27	+$111.98	47% 1160-1314 (2474)
IW iWasEnough	WRAITH PCIFICavg 67.7¢	$180.74	$266.65	+$85.91	51% 11912-11302 (23214)
BI BillBenter2026	WRAITH PCIFICavg 62.3¢	$182.47	$166.88	-$15.59	57% 19072-14109 (33181)
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846	WRAITH PCIFICavg 67.4¢	$180.13	$152.3	-$27.83	59% 31860-22491 (54351)
Future-Tarot-Trader<$100	WRAITH PCIFICavg 62.5¢	$80.06	$74.85	-$5.21	64% 1222-680 (1902)
PA pauleta23<$100	WRAITH PCIFICavg 64.2¢	$10.19	$9.05	-$1.14	66% 23988-12172 (36160)
SH shiifoo<$100	WRAITH PCIFICavg 72¢	$4.5	$6.25	+$1.75	59% 3711-2579 (6290)
XT xtxpleasecallme<$100	WRAITH PCIFICavg 90¢	$4.5	$5	+$0.5	35% 18146-33983 (52129)
TO topdogbigboiCTR	maybeavg 32.3¢	$1.2K	$1.78	$-1.1K	47% 11071-12407 (23478)
38 38791873984189CTR<$100	maybeavg 12.5¢	$14.47	$0.06	-$14.41	48% 59237-63255 (122492)

Vps1

WRAITH PCIFIC

Invested

$1,348.65

Value

$1.3K

PnL

+$0.67

Record

96%

381-15 (396)

0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fARB<$100

WRAITH PCIFIC

Invested

$789.38

Value

$861.48

PnL

+$72.1

Record

54%

2621-2248 (4869)

Both legs:

WRAITH PCIFIC$599.4369.5¢-$107.61

maybe$189.9522.1¢+$179.71

poshposhARB<$100

WRAITH PCIFIC

Invested

$587.67

Value

$642.83

PnL

+$55.16

Record

57%

12266-9326 (21592)

Both legs:

WRAITH PCIFIC$423.4260.2¢-$22.38

maybe$164.2529.2¢+$77.54

alpheclabs2CTR

maybe

Invested

$372.29

Value

$484.27

PnL

+$111.98

Record

47%

1160-1314 (2474)

iWasEnough

WRAITH PCIFIC

Invested

$180.74

Value

$266.65

PnL

+$85.91

Record

51%

11912-11302 (23214)

BillBenter2026

WRAITH PCIFIC

Invested

$182.47

Value

$166.88

PnL

-$15.59

Record

57%

19072-14109 (33181)

0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846

WRAITH PCIFIC

Invested

$180.13

Value

$152.3

PnL

-$27.83

Record

59%

31860-22491 (54351)

Future-Tarot-Trader<$100

WRAITH PCIFIC

Invested

$80.06

Value

$74.85

PnL

-$5.21

Record

64%

1222-680 (1902)

pauleta23<$100

WRAITH PCIFIC

Invested

$10.19

Value

$9.05

PnL

-$1.14

Record

66%

23988-12172 (36160)

shiifoo<$100

WRAITH PCIFIC

Invested

$4.5

Value

$6.25

PnL

+$1.75

Record

59%

3711-2579 (6290)

xtxpleasecallme<$100

WRAITH PCIFIC

Invested

$4.5

Value

PnL

+$0.5

Record

35%

18146-33983 (52129)

topdogbigboiCTR

maybe

Invested

$1,150.58

Value

$1.78

PnL

$-1.1K

Record

47%

11071-12407 (23478)

38791873984189CTR<$100

maybe

Invested

$14.47

Value

$0.06

PnL

-$14.41

Record

48%

59237-63255 (122492)

Research grade

NeutralWRAITH PCIFIC at 100%

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.

Smart Money Signal

WRAITH PCIFIC

8 of 11 top traders (73%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that WRAITH PCIFIC wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance99.9%

100.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$0.10

Max Loss

-$100.00

100.1

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.