Resolution Proposed
A resolution has been proposed and is in the challenge window. Awaiting UMA oracle settlement.

M15 Antalya: Daniele Augenti vs Raffael Gasanov
14 of 15 top Polymarket traders hold Raffael Gasanov (93%) · Raffael Gasanov at 0.4¢ · $40K held · awaiting resolution
⏳
Pending
15
Raffael Gasanov 93%
1 arb excluded
$39.8K
$-12.9K
Smart Money Signal
14 of 15 top traders (93%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed14 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SL SlickRick123CTR | Raffael Gasanovavg 81.6¢ | $14.7K | $12.8K | $-1.9K | 48% 5169-5676 (10845) |
![]() alpheclabs2CTR | Raffael Gasanovavg 72¢ | $30.8K | $11.4K | $-10.8K | 47% 1087-1232 (2319) |
0X 0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105 | Daniele Augentiavg 99¢ | $4.9K | $4.9K | +$29.49 | 95% 23575-1182 (24757) |
CA CandleHammerDrumsCTR | Raffael Gasanovavg 56.1¢ | $3.3K | $4.2K | +$893.52 | 52% 6689-6200 (12889) |
![]() poshposhCTR | Raffael Gasanovavg 64.3¢ | $2.0K | $2.2K | +$217.5 | 57% 11802-8892 (20694) |
LR lryyyCTR | Raffael Gasanovavg 76.3¢ | $1.9K | $1.7K | -$130.25 | 47% 9041-10174 (19215) |
NO NotJumpCTR | Raffael Gasanovavg 75¢ | $750 | $710 | -$40 | 43% 10008-13026 (23034) |
CI cigarettesCTR | Raffael Gasanovavg 82.7¢ | $496 | $426 | -$70 | 53% 21911-19053 (40964) |
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR | Raffael Gasanovavg 72¢ | $360.14 | $354.99 | -$5.15 | 59% 31288-21972 (53260) |
DI dips.CTR | Raffael Gasanovavg 78.6¢ | $362.52 | $326.13 | -$37.4 | 46% 7581-8808 (16389) |
38 38791873984189CTR | Raffael Gasanovavg 68.3¢ | $1.5K | $224.69 | -$943.33 | 48% 14300-15778 (30078) |
SM smithagentCTR | Raffael Gasanovavg 80.7¢ | $214.65 | $188.89 | -$25.76 | 48% 5258-5636 (10894) |
TO topdogbigboiARB<$100 | Raffael Gasanovavg 47¢ | $83.15 | $133.61 | +$50.46 | 47% 10527-11752 (22279) |
| └ Raffael Gasanov leg | Raffael Gasanovavg 47¢ | $47 | $71 | +$32 | |
| └ Daniele Augenti leg | Daniele Augentiavg 29.6¢ | $44.15 | $62.61 | +$18.46 | |
IW iWasEnoughCTR | Raffael Gasanovavg 71¢ | $249.64 | $84.88 | -$92.37 | 51% 11593-10978 (22571) |
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR<$100 | Raffael Gasanovavg 63.3¢ | $56.66 | $63.6 | +$5.15 | 47% 1281-1461 (2742) |
![]() ARTEM-DZYUBACTR<$100 | Raffael Gasanovavg 86¢ | $4.3 | $3.55 | -$0.75 | 82% 6676-1436 (8112) |
Invested
$14,749.13
Value
$12.8K
PnL
$-1.9K
Record
48%
5169-5676 (10845)
alpheclabs2CTRInvested
$30,824.29
Value
$11.4K
PnL
$-10.8K
Record
47%
1087-1232 (2319)
Invested
$4,865.68
Value
$4.9K
PnL
+$29.49
Record
95%
23575-1182 (24757)
Invested
$3,330.39
Value
$4.2K
PnL
+$893.52
Record
52%
6689-6200 (12889)
poshposhCTRInvested
$2,022.71
Value
$2.2K
PnL
+$217.5
Record
57%
11802-8892 (20694)
Invested
$1,861.26
Value
$1.7K
PnL
-$130.25
Record
47%
9041-10174 (19215)
Invested
$750
Value
$710
PnL
-$40
Record
43%
10008-13026 (23034)
Invested
$496
Value
$426
PnL
-$70
Record
53%
21911-19053 (40964)
Invested
$360.14
Value
$354.99
PnL
-$5.15
Record
59%
31288-21972 (53260)
Invested
$362.52
Value
$326.13
PnL
-$37.4
Record
46%
7581-8808 (16389)
Invested
$1,478.75
Value
$224.69
PnL
-$943.33
Record
48%
14300-15778 (30078)
Invested
$214.65
Value
$188.89
PnL
-$25.76
Record
48%
5258-5636 (10894)
Invested
$83.15
Value
$133.61
PnL
+$50.46
Record
47%
10527-11752 (22279)
Both legs:
Invested
$249.64
Value
$84.88
PnL
-$92.37
Record
51%
11593-10978 (22571)
Invested
$56.66
Value
$63.6
PnL
+$5.15
Record
47%
1281-1461 (2742)
ARTEM-DZYUBACTR<$100Invested
$4.3
Value
$3.55
PnL
-$0.75
Record
82%
6676-1436 (8112)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
SlickRick123
CTRRaffael Gasanov — $12.8K

alpheclabs2
CTRRaffael Gasanov — $11.4K
0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105
Daniele Augenti — $4.9K
CandleHammerDrums
CTRRaffael Gasanov — $4.2K

poshposh
CTRRaffael Gasanov — $2.2K
lryyy
CTRRaffael Gasanov — $1.7K
NotJump
CTRRaffael Gasanov — $710
cigarettes
CTRRaffael Gasanov — $426
0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846
CTRRaffael Gasanov — $354.99
dips.
CTRRaffael Gasanov — $326.13