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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No

Will Málaga CF vs. Real Racing Club end in a draw?

Resolved No. 33% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

9

No 38%

4 arb excluded

Total Value

$8.9K

Combined PnL

$-3.2K

Smart Money Signal

No

3 of 9 top traders (33%)4 arbitrage traders dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes0%
No100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Yes6 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares15,500
Combined PnL$-4.0K
No3 traders
Total Value$5.2K
Total Shares5,241
Combined PnL+$803.98
Yes — 67%No — 33%
CH
ch27erCTR
Yes

Invested

$3,628.25

Value

—

PnL

$-3.6K

Record

56%

31-24 (55)

LI
LimousinARB<$100
No

Invested

$3,627.59

Value

$3.3K

PnL

-$294.88

Record

50%

1850-1866 (3716)

Both legs:

No$3,094.8592.9¢+$237.85
Yes$532.7418.3¢-$532.74
LI
LightParadox
No

Invested

$2,796.05

Value

$2.8K

PnL

+$48.41

Record

49%

1800-1902 (3702)

AN
Anon455
No

Invested

$5,585.48

Value

$2.4K

PnL

+$751.58

Record

55%

3814-3145 (6959)

MA
MadridTimeCTR
Yes

Invested

$316.95

Value

—

PnL

-$316.95

Record

48%

1776-1912 (3688)

VeryLucky888ARB<$100
Yes

Invested

$526.6

Value

$168.89

PnL

-$344.4

Record

58%

47904-34520 (82424)

Both legs:

Yes$40527¢-$390
No$121.672¢+$45.6
SH
shiifooARB<$100
Yes

Invested

$196.34

Value

$90.42

PnL

-$105.92

Record

47%

4175-4797 (8972)

Both legs:

Yes$124.2120.8¢-$124.21
No$72.1379.8¢+$18.29
dips.ARB<$100
No

Invested

$128.93

Value

$77.46

PnL

+$13.47

Record

47%

11040-12658 (23698)

Both legs:

No$59.1876.4¢+$18.28
Yes$18.9324.9¢-$4.81
CA
CannaeCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$56.7

Value

—

PnL

-$54.6

Record

53%

17085-15197 (32282)

FL
Flaznorp<$100
No

Invested

$10.81

Value

$14.81

PnL

+$4

Record

51%

27272-25818 (53090)

WA
waiermaCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$10.36

Value

—

PnL

-$9.64

Record

45%

95-117 (212)

GC
GC-PCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$7.4

Value

—

PnL

-$7.12

Record

64%

10184-5783 (15967)

SE
sentrioCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

50%

26504-26107 (52611)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x7cd65129...d4fdac
Slug
lal-mala-rrc-2026-11-07-draw

Traders in this Market

CH

ch27er

CTR

Yes — $0

$-3.6K
LI

Limousin

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

-$294.88
LI

LightParadox

No — $2.8K

+$48.41
AN

Anon455

No — $2.4K

+$751.58
MA

MadridTime

CTR

Yes — $0

-$316.95

VeryLucky888

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

-$344.4
SH

shiifoo

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

-$105.92

dips.

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

+$13.47
CA

Cannae

CTR

Yes — $0

-$54.6
FL

Flaznorp

No — $14.81

+$4
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