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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo000x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BiggggggggBreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)no settled market58% (4520–3300, n=7820)20% (1335–5382, n=6717)45% (573–710, n=1283)
Consensus PnL—$7.9M$566K$7.9M
Tracked as—PM monthly #53PM monthly #8PM monthly #3
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position72% (18 of 25 open)65% (192 of 295 open)83% (25 of 30 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topic—NHL −1 pts, n=134Economy −5 pts, n=109—
Settled positions, side won—59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%66% of 3822 at avg 64¢, ROI +1%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%
Entries under 30¢—17% (won 11% of 1183)30% (won 7% of 1163)11% (won 80% of 61)
Entries 30–50¢—24% (won 45% of 1724)5% (won 43% of 182)35% (won 98% of 203)
Entries 50–70¢—29% (won 66% of 2055)5% (won 68% of 179)35% (won 100% of 201)
Entries 70¢ and up—30% (won 91% of 2092)60% (won 97% of 2298)20% (won 100% of 115)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market00gringo000x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BiggggggggBreakTheBank
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $1.5K—Yes $56K
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $35No $14—
Spread: Jaguars (-9.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
—Ravens $1.2K—Ravens $62K
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $95Yes $9—