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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo000x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Biggggggggndb1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market58% (4536–3318, n=7854)20% (1343–5395, n=6738)63% (991–574, n=1565)
Consensus PnL—$7.8M$566K$3.2M
Tracked as—PM monthly #19PM monthly #9PM monthly #92
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position63% (12 of 19 open)72% (164 of 228 open)70% (52 of 74 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +9 pts n=459, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2301, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1407, ROI +4%
Weakest topic—NHL −1 pts, n=136Economy −5 pts, n=113NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won—59% of 7119 at avg 55¢, ROI +1%66% of 3892 at avg 65¢, ROI +1%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢—17% (won 11% of 1182)30% (won 7% of 1167)13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢—24% (won 45% of 1743)5% (won 43% of 183)20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢—29% (won 66% of 2080)5% (won 67% of 184)24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up—30% (won 91% of 2114)61% (won 98% of 2358)43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market00gringo000x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Biggggggggndb1
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $13KYes $704—
Will Spain win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $2No $173
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $24No $14—
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $9Yes $62K
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $2.8KYes $4—
Will JJ Wetherholt win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?
same side · consensus No
——No $10No $2.0K
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $868Yes $32—
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 46 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
——No $46No $358
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $58Yes $5—