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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo000x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343BreakTheBankjoseph00677
Record (consensus markets)75% (6–2, n=8)47% (572–653, n=1225)45% (547–663, n=1210)53% (10–9, n=19)
Consensus PnL$3.5M$79K$11.0M$5.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #19PM monthly #50PM monthly #1PM monthly #2
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position47% (31 of 66 open)75% (83 of 110 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=139, ROI +49%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topic—Elections ±0 pts, n=286——
Settled positions, side won86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%61% of 1803 at avg 61¢, ROI +4%97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢0%36% (won 1% of 648)10% (won 79% of 58)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢0%3% (won 40% of 55)36% (won 98% of 200)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢100% (won 86% of 7)2% (won 69% of 45)35% (won 99% of 194)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up0%59% (won 99% of 1055)19% (won 100% of 107)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market00gringo000x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343BreakTheBankjoseph00677
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $207No $265K—
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $5No $6.4K—
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $19No $125—
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $749Yes $185K—
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
same side · consensus No
—Yes $9Yes $21K—
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
same side · consensus No
—Yes $64Yes $1.4K—