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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo000x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241RN1omnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)75% (6–2, n=8)56% (101–79, n=180)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)50% (14291–14380, n=28671)
Consensus PnL$3.5M$3.5M$13.4M$3.3M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #19was PM monthly #373PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #27
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position67% (22 of 33 open)52% (34 of 66 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%91% of 10843 at avg 60¢, ROI +32%
Entries under 30¢0%7% (won 75% of 8)10% (won 56% of 2534)8% (won 59% of 873)
Entries 30–50¢0%26% (won 93% of 29)22% (won 94% of 5497)21% (won 86% of 2319)
Entries 50–70¢100% (won 86% of 7)42% (won 96% of 47)36% (won 99% of 8897)38% (won 94% of 4154)
Entries 70¢ and up0%24% (won 96% of 27)31% (won 100% of 7736)32% (won 99% of 3497)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market00gringo000x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241RN1omnibus-076daa
Costa do Sauipe: Andre Souza vs Wilson Leite
opposite sides · consensus Wilson Leite
——Wilson Leite $12KAndre Souza $1.0K
Sioux Falls: Dylan Dietrich vs Liam Draxl
opposite sides · consensus Liam Draxl
——Liam Draxl $5.2KDylan Dietrich $36
Charlottesville: Jangjun Kim vs Ozan Baris
opposite sides · consensus Ozan Baris
——Ozan Baris $4.0KJangjun Kim $951
Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 220.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $228Over $573
Villa Maria: Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto vs Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen
opposite sides · consensus Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto
——Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen $1Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto $2
Grêmio FBPA vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $9.2KUnder $45
Charlottesville: Shunsuke Mitsui vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux
same side · consensus Shunsuke Mitsui
——Shunsuke Mitsui $5Shunsuke Mitsui $452
Colts vs. Jaguars: O/U 52.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $30Under $160