← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | whig | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 48% (14109–15586, n=29695) | 62% (414–251, n=665) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $7.9M | $14.8M | $352K |
| Tracked as | — | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #28 + pinned | was PM monthly #927 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 81% (25 of 31 open) | 62% (103 of 165 open) | 70% (40 of 57 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | Finance −7 pts, n=26 |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 47% of 622 at avg 40¢, ROI +6% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) | 45% (won 13% of 280) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) | 18% (won 43% of 109) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) | 13% (won 81% of 79) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) | 25% (won 95% of 154) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | whig |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $63K | — | Yes $9.6K |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $56K | — | Yes $365 |