← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | whig | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 62% (361–221, n=582) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.5M | $11.0M | $4.4M | $322K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 | was PM monthly #543 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 75% (83 of 110 open) | no open consensus position | 80% (16 of 20 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | Finance −7 pts, n=26 |
| Settled positions, side won | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 47% of 617 at avg 40¢, ROI +6% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 10% (won 79% of 58) | 0% | 45% (won 13% of 280) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% | 36% (won 98% of 200) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 17% (won 43% of 107) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 35% (won 99% of 194) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 13% (won 82% of 78) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 0% | 25% (won 95% of 152) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | whig |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $239K | — | Yes $2.7K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $185K | — | Yes $6.2K |
| Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $65K | — | Yes $367 |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $38K | — | Yes $881 |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $4.3K | — | Yes $3.6K |