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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo00GingerMcKennandb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market27% (2041–5540, n=7581)63% (1100–635, n=1735)48% (19699–21461, n=41160)
Consensus PnL—$34K$4.6M$14.9M
Tracked as—was PM monthly #404PM monthly #110PM monthly #34 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position58% (234 of 401 open)71% (67 of 94 open)58% (42 of 72 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • MLB +10 pts n=30, ROI +10%
  • Economy +3 pts n=98, ROI −12%
Weakest topic—Mentions −3 pts, n=624NFL −7 pts, n=158—
Settled positions, side won—35% of 3098 at avg 36¢, ROI −3%66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—62% (won 1% of 1931)13% (won 14% of 196)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢—3% (won 28% of 99)18% (won 40% of 283)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢—3% (won 74% of 108)23% (won 58% of 348)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up—31% (won 98% of 960)46% (won 94% of 710)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market00gringo00GingerMcKennandb1RN1
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $40No $13—
Will Benfica win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $17Yes $2—
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $1No $350K—
Will Cameron Boozer win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $51No $15—
Will Porto win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $10No $6—