← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 00gringo00 | GingerMcKenna | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 28% (1631–4112, n=5743) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) | 48% (14153–15617, n=29770) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $34K | $4.8M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | — | was PM monthly #404 | PM monthly #98 | PM monthly #30 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 58% (51 of 88 open) | 73% (54 of 74 open) | 52% (78 of 149 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| |
| Weakest topic | — | Mentions −3 pts, n=624 | NFL −9 pts, n=144 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 34% of 3087 at avg 36¢, ROI −3% | 64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 63% (won 1% of 1930) | 13% (won 15% of 186) | 10% (won 57% of 2588) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 3% (won 28% of 99) | 19% (won 39% of 267) | 22% (won 94% of 5673) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 3% (won 75% of 107) | 23% (won 58% of 326) | 35% (won 99% of 9163) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 31% (won 98% of 951) | 44% (won 94% of 619) | 33% (won 100% of 8536) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 00gringo00 | GingerMcKenna | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $40 | No $12 | — |