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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo00RN1S-WorksVenusian
Record (consensus markets)no settled market48% (19424–21150, n=40574)75% (2553–858, n=3411)43% (1768–2390, n=4158)
Consensus PnL—$14.9M$3.6M$48K
Tracked as—PM monthly #33 + pinnedPM monthly #66PM monthly #301
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position62% (18 of 29 open)0% (0 of 1 open)67% (20 of 30 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topic——Crypto −1 pts, n=46—
Settled positions, side won—94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%100% of 816 at avg 71¢, ROI +32%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 57% of 2594)6% (won 14% of 145)7% (won 100% of 57)
Entries 30–50¢—22% (won 94% of 5704)16% (won 48% of 367)19% (won 100% of 153)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 99% of 9204)23% (won 60% of 509)17% (won 100% of 139)
Entries 70¢ and up—33% (won 100% of 8622)55% (won 96% of 1235)57% (won 100% of 467)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market00gringo00RN1S-WorksVenusian
Matsuyama: Keisuke Saitoh vs Renta Tokuda
same side · consensus Keisuke Saitoh
—Keisuke Saitoh $13K—Keisuke Saitoh $1.4K
Brisbane 3: Alafia Ayeni vs Edward Winter
same side · consensus Edward Winter
—Edward Winter $4.8K—Edward Winter $4.9K
Exact Score: Vitesse Arnhem 0 - 0 De Graafschap?
same side · consensus No
—No $22—No $40