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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 00gringo00 | extractive-manatee | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 35% (509–962, n=1471) | 66% (870–456, n=1326) | 47% (14145–15755, n=29900) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.5M | $45K | $4.1M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #19 | was PM monthly #996 | PM monthly #23 | PM monthly #18 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 48% (14 of 29 open) | 71% (27 of 38 open) | 48% (24 of 50 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | — | NBA −1 pts, n=319 | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 22% of 1555 at avg 21¢, ROI 0% | 64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 71% (won 5% of 1101) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% | 12% (won 42% of 182) | 20% (won 39% of 252) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 8% (won 64% of 130) | 24% (won 57% of 306) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 9% (won 91% of 142) | 43% (won 93% of 540) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 00gringo00 | extractive-manatee | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hull City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $1.1K | Yes $5.5K | — |
| Will the Minnesota Vikings make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $127 | No $3 | — |
| Will the Dallas Cowboys make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.3K | No $5 | — |
| Will the Las Vegas Raiders make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? same side · consensus No | — | No $146 | No $675 | — |