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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 35% (168–314, n=482) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 47% (13871–15347, n=29218) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | $34K | $11.0M | $14.8M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #138 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 63% (26 of 41 open) | 91% (150 of 165 open) | 57% (27 of 47 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | Elections ±0 pts, n=174 | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=93 |
| Settled positions, side won | 61% of 1344 at avg 61¢, ROI +1% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 37% (won 2% of 495) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 2% (won 35% of 31) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 30% (won 57% of 63) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 2% (won 84% of 31) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 59% (won 99% of 787) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.1K | Yes $274K | — | — |