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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702 | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 43% (349–467, n=816) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $34K | $11.0M | $5.6M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #169 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #2 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 62% (59 of 95 open) | 68% (77 of 114 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Mentions −2 pts, n=57 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 1724 at avg 59¢, ROI −1% | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 39% (won 2% of 680) | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 2% (won 44% of 43) | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 3% (won 82% of 44) | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 56% (won 99% of 957) | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702 | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.1K | Yes $287K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $4 | Yes $20K | — | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $83 | Yes $4.2K | — | — |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $16 | No $22K | — | — |