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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702beachboy4BreakTheBanksainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)43% (367–494, n=861)no settled market45% (549–663, n=1212)no settled market
Consensus PnL$34K—$11.2M—
Tracked asPM monthly #165—PM monthly #2—
Sides with the consensus66% (123 of 186 open)no open consensus position68% (30 of 44 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
not computed yet
Weakest topicMentions −2 pts, n=57———
Settled positions, side won59% of 1724 at avg 59¢, ROI −1%—97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%—
Entries under 30¢39% (won 2% of 680)—10% (won 81% of 57)—
Entries 30–50¢2% (won 44% of 43)—36% (won 98% of 201)—
Entries 50–70¢3% (won 82% of 44)—35% (won 99% of 196)—
Entries 70¢ and up56% (won 99% of 957)—19% (won 100% of 109)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702beachboy4BreakTheBanksainttroplay
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $52—No $56K—
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus No
Yes $23—Yes $63K—
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
No $2—No $2—