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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x1aBc2b469b5dED495d6C8B21Fc79dcb8d8f345E7-1778811281023 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (381–470, n=851) | 45% (549–663, n=1212) | 65% (876–462, n=1338) | 47% (13283–14790, n=28073) |
| Consensus PnL | $90K | $11.2M | $4.2M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #474 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #23 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 74% (202 of 273 open) | 66% (25 of 38 open) | 79% (19 of 24 open) | 53% (19 of 36 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | Entertainment −4 pts, n=76 | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 62% of 1769 at avg 61¢, ROI +8% | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 37% (won 2% of 650) | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 2% (won 46% of 41) | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 20% (won 40% of 253) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 3% (won 79% of 58) | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 24% (won 57% of 310) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 58% (won 99% of 1020) | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 43% (won 93% of 544) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x1aBc2b469b5dED495d6C8B21Fc79dcb8d8f345E7-1778811281023 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $65 | No $56K | — | — |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $12 | Yes $9.2K | — | — |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus No | Yes $5 | Yes $63K | — | — |