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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x1aBc2b469b5dED495d6C8B21Fc79dcb8d8f345E7-1778811281023beachboy4Flaznorpprimm
Record (consensus markets)41% (430–626, n=1056)no settled market52% (6509–6024, n=12533)50% (1105–1117, n=2222)
Consensus PnL$69K—$3.6M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #502—PM monthly #10PM monthly #49
Sides with the consensus70% (30 of 43 open)no open consensus position68% (131 of 193 open)56% (5 of 9 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicEntertainment −4 pts, n=77—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won61% of 1916 at avg 61¢, ROI +8%—56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢37% (won 2% of 702)—29% (won 11% of 465)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢2% (won 43% of 46)—16% (won 40% of 255)41% (won 99% of 412)
Entries 50–70¢3% (won 76% of 67)—16% (won 62% of 260)50% (won 99% of 503)
Entries 70¢ and up57% (won 99% of 1101)—39% (won 94% of 637)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x1aBc2b469b5dED495d6C8B21Fc79dcb8d8f345E7-1778811281023beachboy4Flaznorpprimm
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic
same side · consensus UTSA
——Florida Atlantic $83Florida Atlantic $7.3K
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $46—No $443—