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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6ejoseph00677keeptheblueflagflyinghighndb1
Record (consensus markets)71% (448–182, n=630)no settled market43% (165–222, n=387)no settled market
Consensus PnL-$11K—$42K$2
Tracked asPM monthly #163PM monthly #6PM monthly #45PM monthly #154
Sides with the consensus69% (9 of 13 open)no open consensus position46% (11 of 24 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • Crypto +30 pts n=217, ROI +26%
  • NBA +26 pts n=151, ROI −7%
  • NFL +28 pts n=59, ROI +16%
none with 10+ settled
  • NBA +50 pts n=74, ROI +51%
  • Tennis +52 pts n=18, ROI +60%
  • Soccer +43 pts n=28, ROI +44%
  • MLB +5 pts n=17, ROI +44%
Weakest topic———NFL −8 pts, n=71
Settled positions, side won100% of 663 at avg 75¢, ROI +8%62% of 13 at avg 59¢, ROI +33%100% of 151 at avg 52¢, ROI +47%54% of 496 at avg 57¢, ROI +1%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 96% of 27)8% (won 0% of 1)6% (won 100% of 9)19% (won 10% of 96)
Entries 30–50¢10% (won 100% of 66)8% (won 0% of 1)42% (won 100% of 63)21% (won 35% of 105)
Entries 50–70¢19% (won 100% of 124)69% (won 67% of 9)40% (won 100% of 61)27% (won 54% of 132)
Entries 70¢ and up67% (won 100% of 446)15% (won 100% of 2)12% (won 100% of 18)33% (won 91% of 163)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6ejoseph00677keeptheblueflagflyinghighndb1
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 224.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $68—Under $4.3K—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
Thunder $9—Trail Blazers $3.2K—
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $105—Over $2.8K—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
Trail Blazers $2.4K—Thunder $31—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
Trail Blazers $199—Thunder $15—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-6.5)
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
Trail Blazers $47—Trail Blazers $22—