← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e | joseph00677 | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 71% (448–182, n=630) | no settled market | 43% (165–222, n=387) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | -$11K | — | $42K | $2 |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #163 | PM monthly #6 | PM monthly #45 | PM monthly #154 |
| Sides with the consensus | 69% (9 of 13 open) | no open consensus position | 46% (11 of 24 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | NFL −8 pts, n=71 |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 663 at avg 75¢, ROI +8% | 62% of 13 at avg 59¢, ROI +33% | 100% of 151 at avg 52¢, ROI +47% | 54% of 496 at avg 57¢, ROI +1% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 96% of 27) | 8% (won 0% of 1) | 6% (won 100% of 9) | 19% (won 10% of 96) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 10% (won 100% of 66) | 8% (won 0% of 1) | 42% (won 100% of 63) | 21% (won 35% of 105) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 19% (won 100% of 124) | 69% (won 67% of 9) | 40% (won 100% of 61) | 27% (won 54% of 132) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 67% (won 100% of 446) | 15% (won 100% of 2) | 12% (won 100% of 18) | 33% (won 91% of 163) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e | joseph00677 | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 224.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $68 | — | Under $4.3K | — |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Thunder | Thunder $9 | — | Trail Blazers $3.2K | — |
| Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 226.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $105 | — | Over $2.8K | — |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-12.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | Trail Blazers $2.4K | — | Thunder $31 | — |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | Trail Blazers $199 | — | Thunder $15 | — |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-6.5) same side · consensus Trail Blazers | Trail Blazers $47 | — | Trail Blazers $22 | — |