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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e | ndb1 | primm | S-Works | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 67% (2248–1132, n=3380) | 63% (1095–632, n=1727) | 50% (1248–1260, n=2508) | 75% (2542–853, n=3395) |
| Consensus PnL | $156K | $4.6M | $3.6M | $3.7M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #138 | PM monthly #111 | PM monthly #47 | PM monthly #72 |
| Sides with the consensus | 66% (25 of 38 open) | 71% (70 of 98 open) | 55% (6 of 11 open) | 50% (2 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — | Crypto −1 pts, n=46 |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 1506 at avg 72¢, ROI +12% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 5% (won 100% of 78) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 6% (won 14% of 145) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 12% (won 100% of 181) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 16% (won 48% of 367) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 23% (won 100% of 345) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 23% (won 60% of 509) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 60% (won 100% of 902) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 55% (won 96% of 1235) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e | ndb1 | primm | S-Works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardinals vs. Seahawks: O/U 42.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $4 | — | Under $9.1K | — |
| Spread: Texans (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Chargers | Chargers $41 | — | Texans $6.6K | — |
| Raiders vs. 49ers same side · consensus 49ers | 49ers $4 | — | 49ers $85K | — |
| Packers vs. Patriots same side · consensus Packers | Packers $182 | — | Packers $76K | — |