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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-17599357954651000monkeysBreakTheBankRN1
Record (consensus markets)57% (4473–3351, n=7824)57% (366–276, n=642)46% (560–665, n=1225)47% (13362–14874, n=28236)
Consensus PnL$8.9M$94K$11.2M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #344PM monthly #900PM monthly #2PM monthly #23 + pinned
Sides with the consensus67% (6 of 9 open)67% (2 of 3 open)48% (10 of 21 open)65% (108 of 166 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • Crypto +34 pts n=473, ROI +52%
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134———
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%68% of 473 at avg 34¢, ROI +52%97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)40% (won 35% of 188)10% (won 81% of 57)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)38% (won 87% of 181)36% (won 98% of 201)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)20% (won 95% of 94)35% (won 99% of 196)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)2% (won 100% of 10)19% (won 100% of 109)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-17599357954651000monkeysBreakTheBankRN1
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $45K—No $15K—
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $342—Yes $16K—